A clear view of race competitiveness.
The Political Nerd ratings show the current competitiveness of 2026 Senate and governor races across a spectrum from Solid Democratic through Toss-Up to Solid Republican.
Solid DToss-upSolid R
Election Center2026 Midterms
At a glance
The races shaping the next Congress
Follow the newest polls, see which contests are moving, and jump straight to the races that matter.
Fresh numbers
Latest polls
Race outlook
Election ratings
Build your own map
Explore your 2026 scenario
Start with The Political Nerd's current Senate or governors ratings, change the races you want, and see how the map and balance respond.
Worth watching
Key races
2026 Elections
Preparing for Election Night
Follow The Political Nerd's forthcoming coverage for U.S. Senate, governors, U.S. House, and individual states. Election coverage is being prepared for November 3, 2026.
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